In the current issue of The Weekly Standard, Fred Barnes argues that we have seen the birth of a Republican majority. In 1992, Barnes points out, Republicans held 176 House seats. Today, they hold 229. In 1992, the G.O.P. controlled 8 state legislatures; now it controls 21. In 1992, there were 18 Republican governors; now there are 27.
But the really eye-popping change is in party identification. In Franklin Roosevelt’s administration, 49 percent of voters said they were Democrats. But that number has been dropping ever since, and now roughly 32 percent of voters say they are. As Mark Penn, a former Clinton pollster, has observed, ”In terms of the percentage of voters who identify themselves as Democrats, the Democratic Party is currently in its weakest position since the dawn of the New Deal.”
The (Finally) Emerging Republican Majority
…[U]nmistakable signs of realignment. But he won’t call it realignment. Whoa! says Bill McInturff, one of the smartest Republican strategists, let’s not be premature. Before anyone claims realignment has put Republicans in control nationally, McInturff says, the GOP must win the White House, Senate, and House in 2004 and maybe even hold Congress in 2006. Bush adviser Karl Rove agrees. He recently told a Republican group that the realignment question won’t be decided until 2004.
There’s really no reason to wait. Realignment is already here, and well advanced.
Both of these articles are worth reading, if only to put some fear into Democrats and independents. The Republicans believe they have taken power — and we know what that leads to. mjh