{"id":5077,"date":"2012-08-22T08:28:40","date_gmt":"2012-08-22T14:28:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/?p=5077"},"modified":"2012-08-22T08:28:40","modified_gmt":"2012-08-22T14:28:40","slug":"first-thoughts-not-your-ordinary-august-poll-first-read","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/election\/first-thoughts-not-your-ordinary-august-poll-first-read\/","title":{"rendered":"First Thoughts: Not your ordinary August poll – First Read"},"content":{"rendered":"

First Thoughts: Not your ordinary August poll – First Read<\/a> <\/p>\n

*** Three macro-conclusions about the race<\/b>: If you assume that this isn’t your ordinary August poll — where many opinions might already be locked in — the survey offers three macro-conclusions. One, Obama holds the advantage heading into the conventions. \u201cThe election has moved from a referendum to a choice,\u201d co-pollster Peter Hart (D) said. \u201cMitt Romney is starting to accumulate a number of negatives on the personal front and issues front.\u201d Two, the president is still below that all-important 50% threshold for an incumbent. \u201cWhen a guy gets stuck at 48%, it doesn\u2019t mean they are out of the clear,\u201d McInturff says. \u201cIt means they are in an incredibly competitive campaign.\u201d And three, Romney has some work to do in selling himself at next week\u2019s GOP convention. Per the poll, Obama has a 22-point lead (52%-30%) on caring about average people, as well as a 28-point advantage (52%-24%) on issues concerning women.<\/font> These are what we call our \u201cgut check\u201d questions, and Romney is trailing here — and trailing badly.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

First Thoughts: Not your ordinary August poll – First Read<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

First Thoughts: Not your ordinary August poll – First Read *** Three macro-conclusions about the race: If you assume that this isn’t your ordinary August poll — where many opinions might already be locked in — the survey offers three macro-conclusions. One, Obama holds the advantage heading into the conventions. \u201cThe election has moved from … Continue reading First Thoughts: Not your ordinary August poll – First Read<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-election"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5077","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5077"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5077\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5078,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5077\/revisions\/5078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.edgewiseblog.com\/mjh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}