Link to very detailed NM poll results for Clinton vs McCain and Oban vs McCain: SurveyUSA Election Poll #13375
Open Left:: General Election Swing (and other) State Polling
Your Can’t Spell White Without Duhbya!
New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan
Darren White
It appears the campaign of ABQ GOP US House hopeful Darren White has figured out that calling for “victory” in Iraq is not the most persuasive argument to attract needed Democratic votes. When he announced his candidacy in October the Bernalillo County Sheriff had Dems jumping out of their chairs when he said: “Our troops must return in victory.” Not that there’s anything wrong with victory. It’s just that most voters in the moderate district don’t think of victory in the way White intimated. They want the war wound down, not up. It appears White’s campaign has recognized their blunder because in his most recent statement on his Web site the “V word” is gone with the wind.
In October the congressional hopeful said:
“Unfortunately, mistakes have been made by those in Washington. And the Iraqi government has not stepped up like they need to. They must be pushed harder…We all want to bring our troops home. And I will work to do just that. But our troops must return in victory, because Al Qaeda must be denied a sanctuary in Iraq…
Fast forward to February:
It is critical that we deny al-Qaeda a sanctuary in Iraq, which would only provide the terrorists a safe haven to launch attacks against America. Let’s also be honest, success in Iraq involves much more than military action alone. To bring our troops home, we must implement measures of accountability, both militarily and politically….”
The war has taken on renewed importance in the ABQ congressional race because probable GOP Prez nominee John McCain has said American troops could be stationed there for 100 years–a statement the Dems are sure to try to hang around the neck of White. Because the Sheriff is most identified with the public safety and the national security, any inroads the Dems could make on the issue could be unusually rewarding. White’s move to notch down the Iraq rhetoric seems to be recognition of that. It’s not only Dems watching. ABQ GOP State Senator Joe Carraro is also seeking the GOP nomination.
Daily Lobo – Republicans gather for Pre-Primary Convention
Republicans gather for Pre-Primary Convention
By: Bryan Gibel
Posted: 2/18/08
The polls may show Rep. Tom Udall beating his Republican opponents in New Mexico’s 2008 Senate race, but the party is working overtime to make sure that doesn’t happen.
About 1,000 Republicans met at the party’s Bernalillo County Pre-Primary Convention on Sunday, where they heard campaign speeches by Republican contenders for the November congressional elections.
Republican Party of New Mexico spokesman Scott Darnell said the stakes are high in the 2008 congressional races.
“The fact that we have three open House seats and one open Senate seat means that Republicans are going to be energized and will have a lot of choices to make before now and the primary,” he said. “They have excellent candidates in each race.”
Reps. Heather Wilson and Steve Pearce are running against each other in the Republican primary for the Senate seat being vacated by Pete Domenici, who will not run for re-election.
Wilson, who spoke at the convention, said she is the Republican with the best chance to make it to the Senate.
“It is up to the Republican Party to nominate a conservative who can beat Tom Udall in the race for the Senate,” she said. “They’ve thrown all kinds of polls at me, and yet I’ve shown I can win in a tough district again and again and again.”
She said she is stronger on issues of national defense than Pearce and voted to beef up New Mexico’s border protection while Pearce voted against it.
Wilson also said she has done more than any other candidate to support the military in New Mexico.
“Tom Udall brought forward a spending bill that would have cut 3,000 jobs from our national laboratories and devastated our ability to secure our nation’s nuclear weapons stockpile,” she said. “Steve, you voted to cut an extra $1.3 billion and thousands of more jobs from our nuclear deterrent. And to me, that defies common sense.”
Pearce said he is more conservative than Wilson and can do a better job than her rallying the party’s conservative base.
“I stand proudly as a conservative and say that my core values are my faith, family, my service and freedom,” he said. “In our hearts and souls, we must decide the moral basis for this country. I tell you that in that cultural struggle, we’re either going to choose rightly or wrongly, and our nation is going to ride on the outcome of that.”
Pearce said he polls well among conservative Hispanic voters because he has taken a strong stance against abortion.
He said he has also fought tax increases more aggressively than Wilson and has done a better job cutting waste on spending.
The differences between the two candidates are clear in their voting records, Pearce said.
“I am the only New Mexican in the delegation in Washington to vote against cloning and stem cell research on embryos,” he said. “I am the only member of the New Mexico delegation to support the (troop) surge (in Iraq) without exception. I believe that we must be on offense in the war on terror.”
Darnell said the convention Sunday chose 156 of the 437 total delegates for the Republican Party’s state pre-primary convention, which will be held March 15.
He said the convention will determine the ballot order for New Mexico’s Republican primary.
It will also indicate who will be the front runner for the party’s nomination for Senate, he said.
“The winner of the state convention will be on top of the ballot,” Darnell said. “That also has some media importance, because the winner is the candidate who obviously won the most support from the Republican Party’s activists and the party as a whole, which dictates what it means to be a Republican.”
Daily Lobo – Republicans gather for Pre-Primary Convention
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New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan
All eyes were on US Senate candidates Heather Wilson and Steve Pearce. Our GOP Alligators report there was some good news for each. Heather, teaming with ABQ GOP Congressional candidate Darren White who is seeking the seat she is giving up to pursue the Senate seat, scored a big win in the Bernalillo delegate count. Pearce was unable to dent her in her home base. Meanwhile, Pearce picked up more delegates than expected in neighboring, but much smaller Sandoval county.
The only poll we’ve seen is a mid-January survey that had Steve at 38% and Heather at 33%, but the poll’s margin of error was enough to make the race dead even. Wilson was acting like the underdog in her Sunday speech before several hundred GOP delegates at the ABQ Marriott. Wilson attacked Pearce for allegedly supporting the proposal to mothball Cannon Air Force Base in Clovis. The Pearce campaign points out there were high profile news releases showing the state’s entire congressional delegation supported converting Cannon to a new mission, and that’s what was approved. KOAT-TV news reported Pearce chose not to fire any volleys at Heather.
The ABQ US House primary between Sheriff White and ABQ GOP Senator Joe Carraro was also on the weekend agenda. White is perceived to have a wide lead. Talk at the Marriott was whether Carraro will be able to win the required 20% of the delegates at the March pre-primary to get on the June ballot.
Pearce vs Wilson vs Udall
According to a poll of 500 likely general election voters taken late last year and provided to SFR, Tom Udall leads Heather Wilson 52 percent to 36 percent with 12 percent undecided. In the same poll, Udall leads Steve Pearce 50 percent to 33 percent with 17 percent undecided.
potentially embarrassing conflicts of interest
I knew that, eventually, the rabid dimwits like Lush Limbaugh would realize ‘the enemy of my enemy is my friend.’ So, the NYTimes has goaded the Far Wrong to reconsider Big Mac. The Times provides cover for a perfect flip-flop by Limbaugh and his ilk. I frankly don’t care if McCain screwed a lobbyist. I care about whether he did favors for her and her clients. I care about McCain’s judgment and sense.
For McCain, Self-Confidence on Ethics Poses Its Own Risk – New York Times
It had been just a decade since an official favor for a friend with regulatory problems had nearly ended Mr. McCain’s political career by ensnaring him in the Keating Five scandal. In the years that followed, he reinvented himself as the scourge of special interests, a crusader for stricter ethics and campaign finance rules, a man of honor chastened by a brush with shame.
But the concerns about Mr. McCain’s relationship with Ms. Iseman underscored an enduring paradox of his post-Keating career. Even as he has vowed to hold himself to the highest ethical standards, his confidence in his own integrity has sometimes seemed to blind him to potentially embarrassing conflicts of interest. …
Mr. Keating, a Phoenix financier and real estate developer, became an early sponsor and, soon, a friend. He was a man of great confidence and daring, Mr. McCain recalled in his memoir. “People like that appeal to me,” he continued. “I have sometimes forgotten that wisdom and a strong sense of public responsibility are much more admirable qualities.”
During Mr. McCain’s four years in the House, Mr. Keating, his family and his business associates contributed heavily to his political campaigns. The banker gave Mr. McCain free rides on his private jet, a violation of Congressional ethics rules (he later said it was an oversight and paid for the trips). They vacationed together in the Bahamas. And in 1986, the year Mr. McCain was elected to the Senate, his wife joined Mr. Keating in investing in an Arizona shopping mall.
For McCain, Self-Confidence on Ethics Poses Its Own Risk – New York Times
Am I the only one disturbed by Cindy McCain? Is she a trophy wife (2nd, 3rd) or really well-preserved? At one appearance, Cindy and McCain’s mom both dressed in red power-suits — I thought I was seeing double. mjh
WW2
Think Progress » McCain: I Could Send U.S. Troops ‘Anywhere’ For ‘A Long Period of Time’
On ABC’s Good Morning America today, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) was asked if he has “regrets” about “saying that the U.S. could be in Iraq for a hundred years.” McCain said he didn’t because — in his mind — the U.S. could have a military presence “anywhere” for a long period of time:
ROBERTS: So it’s clear you have no regrets in saying that the U.S. could be in Iraq for a hundred years.
MCCAIN: The U.S. could have a military presence anywhere in the world for a long period of time.
Think Progress » McCain: I Could Send U.S. Troops ‘Anywhere’ For ‘A Long Period of Time’
McCain has rewritten that history a couple of times lately
McCain’s Rewrite of His Anti-Rumsfeld Script | The Trail | washingtonpost.com By Peter Baker
As he gets closer to the Republican nomination, John McCain has been
trying to balance his unqualified support for the Iraq war by reminding
audiences that he was also a tough critic of the way it was managed
until President Bush finally changed strategies a year ago. In recent
weeks, McCain has gone so far as to tell audiences that he was “the
only one” who called for then-Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld’s
resignation.
The only trick is he never did, at least not publicly. The senator
from Arizona was a tough critic of Rumsfeld and more than once declared
that he had no confidence in the Pentagon chief in the two years before
Bush finally dumped him in November 2006. But even as he was
criticizing Rumsfeld, McCain typically stopped short of calling for the
defense secretary to step down on the grounds that it was up to the
president to decide who served in his
Cabinet.
McCain has rewritten that history a couple of times lately. While
campaigning in Fort Myers, Fla., on Jan. 26, he told a crowd: “In the
conflict that we’re in, I’m the only one that said we have to abandon
the Rumsfeld strategy — and Rumsfeld — and adopt a new strategy.”
Four days later during a debate
at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, Calif., aired
on CNN, McCain said, “I’m the only one that said that Rumsfeld had to
go.”
A McCain spokesman acknowledged yesterday that was not correct. “He
did not call for his resignation,” said the campaign’s Brian Rogers.